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Summary

  • Nvidia Lost $1 Trillion in Market Value: The stock has declined sharply from its AI boom peak, bringing its valuation back to pre-AI levels despite strong underlying business fundamentals.
  • Data Center Business Remains Exceptionally Strong: Revenue hit $81.6 billion with data center sales of $75.2 billion — up 85% year-over-year — and gross margins of 74.1%, reflecting dominant pricing power in AI infrastructure.
  • Analyst Sentiment Stays Overwhelmingly Bullish: Of 82 Bloomberg analysts covering the stock, only 4 hold non-buy ratings, though SGFX flags key risks including rising competition, supply chain disruptions, and potential loss of premium chip positioning.

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Markets
Global Markets

Fri, Jul 10

3 min

SGFX research desk

Nvidia loses $1 trillion in market value as AI growth meets with investor skepticism


Risk Warning: The information in this article is provided for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a personal recommendation, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security, financial instrument, or product. Investing in equities, indices, ETFs, commodities and other financial instruments involves a significant risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Cryptocurrencies and digital assets are highly volatile, may be unregulated in some jurisdictions, and can lose value rapidly and without warning. Foreign exchange trading involves significant risk, including currency volatility and potential loss of capital.

Nvidia has lost $1 trillion in market value over the last couple of months, falling from its sky-high valuation when the AI sector was in a boom phase, according to Bloomberg. The company has benefited greatly from the AI boom over the previous quarters. 

Since 2022, Nvidia’s core segment has moved from graphics cards to data centers. According to TIKR terminal, the company’s LTM gross margin was estimated at 74.1%, a reflection of how strong profitability has been for NVIDIA, a company that has been selling industry-grade AI infrastructure products to large scale clients. 

The company’s latest earnings report shows that the company has earned $81.6 billion, of which data center sales were $75.2 billion, representing an increase of 85% on a year-over-year basis and an EPS of $1.87 which beat Wall Street estimates. 

The update comes after American stock indexes rose in value on Thursday across all benchmarks by the following amounts:

  • S&P 500 +0.85%
  • NASDAQ +1.66%
  • Dow Jones +0.27%
  • Russell 2000 +1.28%

Sectorally, the outlook was bullish as well. 

  • Technology +2.18%
  • Health Care -0.08%
  • Real Estate +0.18%
  • Financials +1.04%
  • Utilities -0.51%
  • Communication Services +0.96%
  • Consumer Discretionary +1.34%
  • Consumer Staples -1.41%
  • Industrials +0.38%
  • Energy -1.40%
  • Materials +0.20%
  • Aerospace & Defense 0.00%
  • Biotechnology +0.51%
  • Medical Devices +0.04%
  • REITs +0.11%
  • Semiconductor +3.50%
  • Software +1.51%

According to Bloomberg, a majority of analysts covering Nvidia held bullish ratings on the stock, citing the company's competitive position in data centre infrastructure, though analyst sentiment is subject to change and does not constitute a guarantee of future performance. 82 Bloomberg analysts currently cover NVIDIA and only four have either hold (3) or sell ratings (1) for the stock. 


Summary


In the view of SGFX research desk, Nvidia still has a number of risks to contend with which include a further bloating of competition in the sector, losing its position as a premium chip provider to another company, supply-chain disruptions that could reduce the incoming supply of materials, and a rise in semiconductor costs. 


Research references



Disclaimer: This article reflects the views and analysis of the author at the time of publication and is based on information believed to be reliable from publicly available sources. Spectra Global makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information containedherein, and accepts no liability for any loss arising from reliance on it. Spectra Global is licensed by the UAE Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA) under Category 5 (Promotion). Nothing in this article should be construed as a personal recommendation or as an inducement to enter into any transaction. Past performance is not indicative of future results. SpectraGlobal has no commercial relationship with any company referenced in this article. 

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