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Summary

  • The AI rally is cooling, with investors pulling back from tech stocks globally — the Nasdaq 100 fell 4.8%, U.S. semiconductors dropped 10.44%, and South Korea's Kospi lost 8%, with Samsung and SK Hynix down over 10% and 7.6% respectively.
  • A U.S. jobs report showing 172,000 jobs added in May and unemployment at 4.3% is being read as a potential trigger for a Federal Reserve rate hike, with rising 10-year bond yields in the U.S., Japan, and Indonesia signaling higher risk premiums across asset classes — bad news for capital-intensive AI investments.
  • The sell-off has swept across Asia, with the Nikkei down 4.48%, Hang Seng off 1.67%, and Shanghai losing 1.75% — a bearish mood reinforced by ongoing Middle East conflict and rising oil prices heading into the week.

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Markets
Global Markets

Mon, Jun 8

3 min

SGFX research desk

Asian stock indexes continue America's equities tech market sell-off 

Risk Warning: The information in this article is provided for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a personal recommendation, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security, financial instrument, or product. Investing in equities, indices, ETFs, and other financial instruments involves a significant risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Cryptocurrencies and digital assets are highly volatile, may be unregulated in some jurisdictions, and can lose value rapidly and without warning.

Equities in Asia are picking up on the downward selling trend started by U.S. stock indexes, a change that is happening as investors are taking stock of a cooling AI rally in the market and also absorbing newer information that could lead to higher borrowing costs for companies.

The trend of selling off stakes in the technology sector is visible in both Asian and U.S markets, particularly in the Nasdaq100 and South-Korean focused semi-conductor benchmark Kospi. As per CNBC data, the Kospi dipped by 8% on Monday, driven by dips in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix of 10.18% and 7.68% respectively. 

Tech firms looking to invest in AI need tremendous amounts of capital to keep their capital expenditures flowing. However, macro-economic updates could be discouraging active growth for these investments. According to TIKR data, the following tech and technology related sectors were down for the U.S. market:

  • Technology: (-6.66%)
  • Semiconductor: (-10.44%)
  • Software: (-4.21%)

On Friday, the NASDAQ100—the strongest composition of AI and tech firms among American stock indexes—went down by 4.8% while the S&P500 lost 2.58% in data, accompanied by downslides of 1.35% and 3.55% for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Russell 2000 (Source: TIKR data).

At the time of writing, CNBC data showed Asian stock indexes underperforming by the following amounts:

  • ASX 200: (−0.70%)
  • Nikkei: (−4.48%)
  • Nifty 50: (−0.68%)
  • HSI (Hang Seng): (−1.67%)
  • Shanghai: (−1.75%)

A U.S. jobs report that the market appeared to weigh as a strong indicator of a rate hike, continued conflict in the Middle East, a further bloating of oil prices on Monday, and general expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve have all contributed to the bearish outlook maintained by investors through the weekend. According to MorningStar, 172,000 jobs were added in the month of May with total unemployment fixed at 4.3%

Bond yields for Japan, Indonesia, and the U.S. have all increased for 10-year notes. When rates for bonds increase, it usually points to inflation and a higher risk premium being placed on assets that are typically viewed as more stable when compared to equities and alternative assets. 

Summary

Investors are now picking up on more negative than positive indicators to decide their level of commitment. While tech firms are staying steadfast to their plans for growth, uncertainty from macro-economic headwinds and a general level of doubt towards AI-related investments have creeped in. Our market commentary notes that the AI market rally is currently not weighing enough as a positive indicator of future growth.


Research references


Disclaimer: This article reflects the views and analysis of the author at the time of publication and is based on information believed to be reliable from publicly available sources. Spectra Global makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information contained herein, and accepts no liability for any loss arising from reliance on it. Spectra Global is licensed by the UAE Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA) under Category 5 (Promotion). Nothing in this article should be construed as a personal recommendation or as an inducement to enter into any transaction. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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